Live season data is combined with recent form, expected role, opponent positional concessions, team environment, venue, travel, turnaround, referee and weather context.
12weighted factors
20+projected stats
80%forecast ranges
Demo projection
Tom Trbojevic
Sea Eagles · Fullback · vs Parramatta
Team list pending
88.0PPPS / 100
Confidence84%
VarianceLow
Expected minutes80
Live sample12 games
Strong base production with an above-average positional matchup.
Data quality
88%
Stat forecast
Expected production
Score construction
Factor breakdown
Match intelligence
Context signals
Price comparison
Betting edge calculator
Not a guarantee
Model probability67.0%
Fair odds$1.49
Expected value+27.3%
Difference to line+29.5 m
Model probabilities are estimates built from public match data and transparent assumptions. Bookmaker rules, late team changes, injuries and price movement can materially change the result.
CALQ•LUX ODDS × PPPS
Multi-leg value builder
API not checked
Uses the same The Odds API key saved in CALQ•LUX, loads available NRL player-prop prices from Australian bookmakers, compares them with PPPS probabilities, penalises correlated legs and ranks multi-leg combinations.
Your CALQ•LUX API key is shared automatically. Open the Arb Scanner first if a key has not been saved. NRL player props depend on bookmaker and event availability.
A high model probability does not guarantee a win. Multi-leg prices compound uncertainty, market margin and correlation. The builder ranks estimated value; it does not promise profit.